Swami Weekly Wrap: August 11, 2025 [Another dip another rip]
Hi Swami Subs,
SHOP (Shopify Inc) will remain in the Swami All-Equity model portfolio next week, which will be it's 5th week in the model as a top signal (within Asset-Light Individual Equities). SHOP ripped 26% last week, helping us return 2.7% last week which bests SPY's 2.5%. We prefer persistent signals over nascent ones, however, sometimes persistent signals fail too. TDG (TransDigm) was a top signal for three weeks before getting smoked (-12.3% WoW) last week on earnings. Swami All-Equity continues to show efficacy, our model portfolio is up 18% YTD (versus 9.4% for SPY).
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Big picture: Another dip another rip
CRYPTO: Signal strength dipped a bit this week, but price got us paid off last week’s buy signal
BONDS: TLT struggling to break (bearish) trend
EQUITIES: Same as crypto—signal strength dropped but price paid on last week’s buy signal
COMMODITIES: Oil is at a key level and may break trend; gold remains strong
CURRENCIES: Short dollar clawing backOverall no change to views or long term positions/calls
CRYPTO: Signal strength dipped a bit this week, but price got us paid off last week’s buy signal
BONDS: TLT struggling to break (bearish) trend
EQUITIES: Same as crypto—signal strength dropped but price paid on last week’s buy signal
COMMODITIES: Oil is at a key level and may break trend; gold remains strong
CURRENCIES: Short dollar clawing backOverall no change to views or long term positions/calls